Gatlinburg

1,289 ft 0 min from GatlinburgCrowd level 5/5

Basecamp at the park boundary. Town color runs latest of anywhere in the region, which means an early-November trip still has a show even after the high country is bare.

Color today · Aug 25

7/100

Still green

Canopy is summer green with only scattered early turners.

Predicted peak

Nov 3

Window Oct 30 – Nov 8

Historical median

Nov 3

-0.1 day weather shift

Peak probability today

78% model confidence

Expected vibrancy

68/100

0 cold nights, 0 frosts logged

This location vs. its own normal year

Gatlinburg is running on schedule compared with its own ten-year day-by-day climate record from the ERA5-Land reanalysis, downscaled to this elevation.

Timing shift: -0.1d
Daytime temperature: +2.1°F
Rainfall: 195% of normal
Cold nights logged: 0

How far to trust this

Strong evidence

Forecast-grade through Sep 11. After that the curve is this location's historical average, not a prediction of this year's weather.

Numerical weather forecast through Sep 8
Cloud-free satellite canopy scene 4 days old
Scored camera frame 2 days old
Timing corrected against 15 scored past seasons

Leaf-drop risk

Next 14 days

No warnings or leaf-stripping weather in the window. Color that arrives should hold.

Aug 25Sep 7

Next three weeks here

Aug 25

Aug 26

Aug 27

Aug 28

Aug 29

Aug 30

Aug 31

Sep 1

Sep 2

Sep 3

Sep 4

Sep 5

Sep 6

Sep 7

Sep 8

Sep 9

Sep 10

Sep 11

Sep 12

Sep 13

Sep 14

Peak dates, recent years

How this year's prediction compares with observed peaks here.

2021
Nov 6
2022
Nov 1
2023
Nov 7
2024
Nov 4
2025
Oct 31
2026
Nov 3

What turns here

Red maple
Sugar maple
Sycamore
Dogwood
Tulip poplar

Weather notes

The fall season has not started yet, so timing is on the historical baseline. Weather adjustments begin once September observations accumulate.
Past seasons scored here ran 0.1 days earlier than the model expected, so that correction is applied.

Plan around it

Green

Attraction

Gatlinburg SkyLift Park

Rides above the town canopy; the SkyBridge is the easiest big view in the region.

Attraction

Anakeesta

Chondola up to ridge-level treetop walks - good on a rainy afternoon.

Where to stay

Downtown & Ski Mountain Road

Walkable base for a park-heavy trip; book 3+ months ahead for peak October weekends.

Hike

Gatlinburg Trail

Flat 3.8 miles along the river from town into the park, dog-friendly.

Plan a trip around this Alert me before peak here