Foothills Parkway West
The overlook highway. Thirty-three miles of ridge-top driving with pull-offs looking straight into the park - the single best way to see the color line from outside it.
Color today · Aug 25
0/100
Still green
Canopy is summer green with only scattered early turners.
Predicted peak
Oct 31
Window Oct 27 – Nov 5
Historical median
Oct 28
+2.7 day weather shift
Peak probability today
0%
78% model confidence
Expected vibrancy
68/100
0 cold nights, 0 frosts logged
This location vs. its own normal year
Foothills Parkway West is running 2.7 days late compared with its own ten-year day-by-day climate record from the ERA5-Land reanalysis, downscaled to this elevation.
- Timing shift
- +2.7d
- Daytime temperature
- +2.5°F
- Rainfall
- 58% of normal
- Cold nights logged
- 0
Peak pushed later
Warmer than normal here
3.2 in observed · 5.5 in typical
Nights below 45°F · air dryness 1.79 kPa
How far to trust this
Strong evidenceForecast-grade through Sep 8. After that the curve is this location's historical average, not a prediction of this year's weather.
- Numerical weather forecast through Sep 8
- Cloud-free satellite canopy scene 14 days old
- Timing corrected against 4 scored past seasons
Leaf-drop risk
Next 14 daysNo warnings or leaf-stripping weather in the window. Color that arrives should hold.
Next three weeks here
Aug 25
Aug 26
Aug 27
Aug 28
Aug 29
Aug 30
Aug 31
Sep 1
Sep 2
Sep 3
Sep 4
Sep 5
Sep 6
Sep 7
Sep 8
Sep 9
Sep 10
Sep 11
Sep 12
Sep 13
Sep 14
Peak dates, recent years
How this year's prediction compares with observed peaks here.
- 2022Oct 26
- 2023Nov 1
- 2024Oct 29
- 2025Oct 25
- 2026Oct 31
What turns here
- Sourwood
- Black gum
- Red maple
- Hickory
- Oak
Weather notes
- The fall season has not started yet, so timing is on the historical baseline. Weather adjustments begin once September observations accumulate.
- Past seasons scored here ran 2.7 days later than the model expected, so that correction is applied.
Plan around it
GreenScenic drive
Walland to Wears Valley section
The newest stretch, huge sweeping views and almost always moving traffic.
Overlook
Look Rock Tower
Short walk to a 360° observation platform above the haze layer.
Photography
Sunset pull-offs mile 12–17
West-facing, layered ridges, the shot that sells the Smokies.